Lakers Can Get Kobe, Dwight, & Deron Together IF They’re Willing To Pay The Price

This morning writer Sam Amick of Sports Illustrated reported that the Los Angeles Lakers and the Orlando Magic would do well to swap their star centers, and that Brooklyn Nets star point guard Deron Williams was allegedly increasingly interested in a possible trade to the Lakers (http://bit.ly/KzmkVJ). This got me thinking again about more Laker business transactions, and how it could possibly come together for a revamped championship-primed Laker team, and one prepared for a post-Kobe Bryant era.

IF Deron had the balls to tell the Nets he’s out then this can go down. However, there are more moving gears in place. The Magic and Lakers need to talk and get the Bynum-for-Howard deal done FIRST. This would close the door on the Nets possibly even asking for Bynum if they were willing to ship Deron out. Then the Nets would then have to agree to a sign-and-trade with the Lakers, though Gasol (and filler?) might be the only tradeable pieces. This might screw the Nets pretty bad, but it’s either they land Gasol as their marquee player (not great since the last time he was the ‘star’ on a team it was Memphis and he didn’t embrace the role) or just lose D-Will for nothing.

The big problem for the Lakers would (once again) be paying 3 stars big money and not having enough room to fill out the bench. That’s why much of this is a crazy pipe dream. We’d all love to have Deron Williams over Ramon Sessions but D-Will commands so much money that our bench would be crap.

IF The Lakers wanted to risk some big moves this could be the behind-closed-doors gamble they could pull:

* Go after Dwight Howard with a trade for Bynum, extend Dwight to a max five year deal:
At 4.5% annual raises from his $19.3 mil contract in 2012/13 that totals $105.4million through 2016/17

* Go after Deron Williams with a sign-and-trade for Gasol (and maybe another cheap player), extend Deron to a max five year deal:
At 4.5% annual raises from his $17.8 mil contract in 2012/13 that totals $97.3 million through 2016/17

* Plan to NOT re-sign Kobe after his contract ends after the 2013/14 season (when he’ll be 35) UNLESS he’s willing to take a severely discounted salary for 2 years (so he can retire at 37, a full 20 YEAR career), say about $5 mil a season (the Lakers can tell him this when his current contract is up– sneaky!

* Scout, scout, and SCOUT to find young, athletic, and cheap defensive and perimeter shooting pieces, though careful not to spend more than $2-4 mil on each, including the possibility of small trades.

Remember, only your most recent team can offer you the max 7.5% annual raises. Your new team can offer you only 4.5% maximum raises. If the player opts for a shorter contract (say 3 years) then at the end of that he can get a new contract with the team he’s been on with maximum 7.5% raises at that point. In other words, a longer deal NOW with shorter maximum raises would likely means the Lakers paying them less money through the next five years:

Through the 2012-13 season it’s $1 over the cap = $1 more in penalties. Going above the Salary Cap means you give your tax money (if any, otherwise just the league pays out ‘help’) to teams that are below the Salary Cap, but going over the Punitive Tax means you pay big time taxes.

Beginning with the 2013-14 season, tax rates for incremental spending above the tax level will increase as follows:

* $0-5 million over tax level – $1.50 for $1
* $5-10 million over tax level – $1.75 for $1
* $10-15 million over tax level – $2.50 for $1
* $15-20 million over tax level – $3.25 for $1

However, the repeater tax (in addition to the luxury tax, more punitive) kicks in for teams over the cap in 2014-15 onwards (multiple years over the cap). For each year REPEATING over the luxuy tax they have to ALSO pay these repeater penalties:

* $0-5 million over tax level – $1.50 for $1
* $5-10 million over tax level – $1.75 for $1
* $10-15 million over tax level – $2.50 for $1
* $15-20 million over tax level – $3.25 for $1

This still causes money worries for the Lakers (Almost $470 MILLION over the next 5 years!!), but can still be done if they’re willing to eat the taxes at different times to get all three stars together, and sunset Kobe Bryant in 2 years (or more if he’ll take a lesser paycut for 2 more years). It’s a big series of ‘what ifs’, gambles, and risks, but the Lakers have never been a team to shy away from the drama, risk-taking, and stardom of Los Angeles.

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